2004 SWAC Football Predictions


tierre

tierre

Well-Known Member
My Predictions for SWAC Football 04

AAMU: Will continue to have the best defense in the SWAC, but lackluster offense will show against the top 5. The MCC will determine the fate of AAMU. Will play a close game to Alcorn & Alabama St.. Will shut out at least 2 teams in the SWAC. AAMU is trying to set a name for themselves since nobody really heard of them untill they joined the SWAC. Record 7-4. Loss to JSU/Alcorn, GSU, SU, Tenn. St./ASU.

ASU: Will not be as good as they were last year. Coe will be using his own system instead of Coles. Will find it very hard to find the players Cole got. Balanced offenese turns out to be the threat of the SWAC. Has holes to fill on defense. Will fight 4 last minute games; will lose 3 of them. Fate will be determened before the last game. Record 6-5. Loss to JSU, GSU/SU, Alcorn, Valley/AAMU, BCC/or other opponent.

Alcorn: JT will prove that he is not the same coach he was when he was first hired. Very hungry for a SWAC title. Will have a high powered offense but more balanced. Defense will be even better. Will have the best QB or 2nd best QB in the SWAC. Losses will be determined by 10 points or less. Will sell out all four of their big games, especially against SU (sold out the day before the game). Battle for SWAC EAST will be in the CCC. Record 8-3. Loss to AAMU/ASU, GSU/SU, NCAT/SEL.

Grambling: Will prove that they they don't need Doug to be good, just won't be as good as they have been for the last 6 years. Bruce will not be as good as he was this year. A slight improvement in secondary. Will continue to have high-powered offense. Will have to pull a miracle against Jackson St. or Alcorn but will fall short of one of them. Will come up short in the Bayou Classic. Will have a sellout against Jackson St. and Alcorn. Record 8-3. Loss to Alcorn/JSU, SU, ASU.

Jackson St.: Bell will prove alot of people wrong and will be the surprise team of the SWAC. Will upset one of the Louisiana powerhouses. Even without Kent or Manning, JSU will have a good offense; not the best. Will be battling for SWAC EAST but fall short in the CCC. Fan base will rise back to the usual. Record 7-4. Losses come from Alcorn, Alabama St./AAMU, SU/GSU, Hampton/Tennessee St.,

MVSU: Totten realizes that he doesn't have personel to run his offense. Offense become alittle better. Will continue to be good against the pass. Will give Alcorn and Jackson St. a run for their money. The record might be bad but will no longer be a pushover. Will overflow their stadium against Alcorn. Record 4-7. Wins come from Delta St./or replacement, Paul Quinn, Prairie View, ASU/AAMU.

Prairie View: will have an improved team but still will not be able to hang with Grambling or Southern. The SWAC will not be playing 2nd stream against them next year. Improved defense and slightly improved offense. Should have more people to fill up their new stadium. Two of their wins will come down to the wire. Record 4-7. Wins come from Tex. Southern, UAPB, Paul Quinn, and Texas College.

Southern: Will continue to be on top of the West again next year. Non-stoppable offense will win most of their games. Will have a slight improvement in the running game. Will have a lot of holes to fill in on defense. Will win the west in the Bayou Classic. SU two losses will be decided by 10 points or less and one of the in the last second. All wins except one will be blowouts. Record 9-2. Loss to Alcorn/JSU, and Alabama St. (Revenge).

Texas Southern: The new coach will endure TSU's problems and dept that the football program is in. One diminsional offense and lack of depth will definitly show against the top 5 teams. Will get upset by Prairie View and UAPB. Will get blown out by 4 teams in the SWAC, 2 of them shut-outs. Is also going to be homecoming bait of half of the SWAC. Record 3-8. Wins come from Howard, MVSU, AAMU/ASU.

UAPB: Will face the consiquences of hiring mediocre coaches. Continuing to go downhill. Will finish last in the West. Running game will be ok. Passing game will one the worst in the SWAC. Defense will be the worst in the SWAC. Possibility of getting shut out by AAMU for the 4 time out of 5 years. All wins will come at the last second. Record 3-8. Wins come from MVSU, Kentucky St., and Tex. Southern.

Key Gams

Alcorn vs. Southern
Alcorn vs. Grambling
Jackson St.vs. Southern
Jackson St. vs. Grambling
Southern vs. Alabama St.
Grambling vs. Alabama St.
 

tierre said:
My Predictions for SWAC Football 04

AAMU: Will continue to have the best defense in the SWAC, but lackluster offense will show against the top 5. The MCC will determine the fate of AAMU. Will play a close game to Alcorn & Alabama St.. Will shut out at least 2 teams in the SWAC. AAMU is trying to set a name for themselves since nobody really heard of them untill they joined the SWAC. Record 7-4. Loss to JSU/Alcorn, GSU, SU, Tenn. St./ASU.

ASU: Will not be as good as they were last year. Coe will be using his own system instead of Coles. Will find it very hard to find the players Cole got. Balanced offenese turns out to be the threat of the SWAC. Has holes to fill on defense. Will fight 4 last minute games; will lose 3 of them. Fate will be determened before the last game. Record 6-5. Loss to JSU, GSU/SU, Alcorn, Valley/AAMU, BCC/or other opponent.

Alcorn: JT will prove that he is not the same coach he was when he was first hired. Very hungry for a SWAC title. Will have a high powered offense but more balanced. Defense will be even better. Will have the best QB or 2nd best QB in the SWAC. Losses will be determined by 10 points or less. Will sell out all four of their big games, especially against SU (sold out the day before the game). Battle for SWAC EAST will be in the CCC. Record 8-3. Loss to AAMU/ASU, GSU/SU, NCAT/SEL.

Grambling: Will prove that they they don't need Doug to be good, just won't be as good as they have been for the last 6 years. Bruce will not be as good as he was this year. A slight improvement in secondary. Will continue to have high-powered offense. Will have to pull a miracle against Jackson St. or Alcorn but will fall short of one of them. Will come up short in the Bayou Classic. Will have a sellout against Jackson St. and Alcorn. Record 8-3. Loss to Alcorn/JSU, SU, ASU.

Jackson St.: Bell will prove alot of people wrong and will be the surprise team of the SWAC. Will upset one of the Louisiana powerhouses. Even without Kent or Manning, JSU will have a good offense; not the best. Will be battling for SWAC EAST but fall short in the CCC. Fan base will rise back to the usual. Record 7-4. Losses come from Alcorn, Alabama St./AAMU, SU/GSU, Hampton/Tennessee St.,

MVSU: Totten realizes that he doesn't have personel to run his offense. Offense become alittle better. Will continue to be good against the pass. Will give Alcorn and Jackson St. a run for their money. The record might be bad but will no longer be a pushover. Will overflow their stadium against Alcorn. Record 4-7. Wins come from Delta St./or replacement, Paul Quinn, Prairie View, ASU/AAMU.

Prairie View: will have an improved team but still will not be able to hang with Grambling or Southern. The SWAC will not be playing 2nd stream against them next year. Improved defense and slightly improved offense. Should have more people to fill up their new stadium. Two of their wins will come down to the wire. Record 4-7. Wins come from Tex. Southern, UAPB, Paul Quinn, and Texas College.

Southern: Will continue to be on top of the West again next year. Non-stoppable offense will win most of their games. Will have a slight improvement in the running game. Will have a lot of holes to fill in on defense. Will win the west in the Bayou Classic. SU two losses will be decided by 10 points or less and one of the in the last second. All wins except one will be blowouts. Record 9-2. Loss to Alcorn/JSU, and Alabama St. (Revenge).

Texas Southern: The new coach will endure TSU's problems and dept that the football program is in. One diminsional offense and lack of depth will definitly show against the top 5 teams. Will get upset by Prairie View and UAPB. Will get blown out by 4 teams in the SWAC, 2 of them shut-outs. Is also going to be homecoming bait of half of the SWAC. Record 3-8. Wins come from Howard, MVSU, AAMU/ASU.

UAPB: Will face the consiquences of hiring mediocre coaches. Continuing to go downhill. Will finish last in the West. Running game will be ok. Passing game will one the worst in the SWAC. Defense will be the worst in the SWAC. Possibility of getting shut out by AAMU for the 4 time out of 5 years. All wins will come at the last second. Record 3-8. Wins come from MVSU, Kentucky St., and Tex. Southern.

Key Gams

Alcorn vs. Southern
Alcorn vs. Grambling
Jackson St.vs. Southern
Jackson St. vs. Grambling
Southern vs. Alabama St.
Grambling vs. Alabama St.
Click to expand...

Kentucky State is not on the schedule for UAPB this year. BCC of the MEAC has taken their place.
 
East

1) Alcorn State
2) Alabama State
3) Alabama A&M
4) Jackson State
5) Mississippi Valley

West

1) Southern U.
2) Grambling State
3) Texas Southern
4) Arkansas Pine Bluff
5) Prairie View

***SWAC Champions.......(12-0) SOUTHERN U. Football JAGUARS***

You heard it here first!
 
JROCK said:
East

1) Alcorn State
2) Alabama State
3) Alabama A&M
4) Jackson State
5) Mississippi Valley

West

1) Southern U.
2) Grambling State
3) Texas Southern
4) Arkansas Pine Bluff
5) Prairie View

***SWAC Champions.......(12-0) SOUTHERN U. Football JAGUARS***

You heard it here first!
Click to expand...


JRock, I think you have it all backwards. On paper, it appears that no team in the WEST can touch Grambling and on paper it appears that no team in EAST can touch Alabama State. But we all know what paper is good for.

EAST
1. Alabama State
2. Jackson State
3. Alcorn State
4. AAMU
5. MS Valley


WEST

1. Grambling State
2. Southern University
3. Texas Southern
4. Prairie View
5. Arkansas-Pine Bluff
 
MACHIAVELLI said:
Obvious Alcorn slant. :lmao:
Click to expand...

Mach, Grambling has been in Alcorn's way for a long time. I have predicted the Alcorn victory for years and I have been wrong every time. I guess that all we expect is another good game because those have been some great matchups the last few years!! Spears first challenge is against his alma mater. I do believe that Alcorn has the better coaching staff but they need to improve their depth chart to move ahead.
 
This is rather easy, the east will be represented by a school from Alabama, while the west will be represented by a school from Louisaina. The rest of you are schedule fillers. Not trying to smack but thats the way I see it. :tophat:
 
enswaclopedia said:
This is rather easy, the east will be represented by a school from Alabama, while the west will be represented by a school from Louisaina. The rest of you are schedule fillers. Not trying to smack but thats the way I see it. :tophat:
Click to expand...


Well, we shall see about that.
 
MACHIAVELLI said:
Explain
Click to expand...


Alcorn's DC has had great years at Pine Bluff and the defense at Alcorn came around last year by midseason and helped to win games. Gram's defense has left a lot to be desired for several years. Even Morris Brown was eating that secondary up.

Please don't tell me that you think Sammy White can compare to McKenzie???
 

Tigerpride said:
Alcorn's DC has had great years at Pine Bluff and the defense at Alcorn came around last year by midseason and helped to win games. Gram's defense has left a lot to be desired for several years.

Please don't tell me that you think Sammy White can compare to McKenzie???
Click to expand...

You do realize that Sammy just got the OC job right. Why not compare Spears and Thomas as head coaches while you are at it.

tigerpride said:
I have been wrong every time.
Click to expand...

2003 TOTAL DEFENSE G Rush Pass Plys Yards Avg TD Yds/G
------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama A&M......... 12 991 2106 792 3097 3.9 24 258.1
Southern............ 13 1438 2471 837 3909 4.7 20 300.7
Alcorn State........ 12 1733 2192 798 3925 4.9 36 327.1
Alabama State....... 13 1466 2933 900 4399 4.9 38 338.4
Ark.-Pine Bluff..... 11 1689 2051 760 3740 4.9 35 340.0
Grambling State..... 12 1078 3057 819 4135 5.0 30 344.6
Miss. Valley State.. 11 1860 2029 712 3889 5.5 39 353.5
Texas Southern...... 11 2067 1948 765 4015 5.2 37 365.0
Jackson State....... 12 2447 2101 825 4548 5.5 40 379.0
Prairie View A&M.... 10 2302 2654 660 4956 7.5 64 495.6
***********************
2002 TOTAL OFFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Yds/G
-------------------------------------------------------------
Jackson State....... 11 1833 3507 869 5340 6.1 47 485.5
Grambling State..... 13 1530 4661 969 6191 6.4 65 476.2
Southern............ 12 1607 2748 932 4355 4.7 36 362.9
Texas Southern...... 11 1375 2451 766 3826 5.0 34 347.8
Arkansas-Pine Bluff. 11 890 2857 765 3747 4.9 35 340.6
Alabama State....... 12 1609 2414 886 4023 4.5 39 335.2
Alcorn State........ 11 1329 2259 776 3588 4.6 35 326.2
Miss. Valley State.. 11 990 2356 767 3346 4.4 25 304.2
Alabama A&M......... 12 1823 1423 751 3246 4.3 29 270.5
Prairie View A&M.... 11 924 1444 719 2368 3.3 16 215.3
*******************
2001 TOTAL DEFENSE G Rush Pass Plys Yards Avg TD Yds/G
------------------------------------------------------------
Southern............ 11 1311 2086 824 3397 4.1 23 308.8
Arkansas-Pine Bluff. 11 1655 1837 774 3492 4.5 29 317.5
Grambling State..... 11 1148 2410 698 3558 5.1 28 323.5
Texas Southern...... 10 1437 1854 663 3291 5.0 26 329.1
Alabama State....... 12 1494 2608 809 4102 5.1 35 341.8
Alabama A&M......... 11 889 2918 739 3807 5.2 34 346.1
Jackson State....... 11 1236 2586 803 3822 4.8 41 347.5
Alcorn State........ 11 1888 1944 765 3832 5.0 38 348.4
Prairie View A&M.... 10 1535 2149 740 3684 5.0 40 368.4
Miss. Valley State.. 11 2580 2567 826 5147 6.2 57 467.9
 
Mach,

Talking to you is :splat:

Can you PLEASE tell me what 2001 defensive stats have to do with this convo?? And why did you pick and choose things??? Seriously??
 
Tigerpride said:
Can you PLEASE tell me what 2001 defensive stats have to do with this convo??
Click to expand...

Tigerpride said:
Alcorn's DC has had great years at Pine Bluff and the defense at Alcorn came around last year by midseason and helped to win games. Gram's defense has left a lot to be desired for several years.
Click to expand...

Don't let the facts get in your way.
 
MACHIAVELLI said:
Don't let the facts get in your way.
Click to expand...


Mach, what the "L" are you talking about???!!! :splat:

Gram's defense has been terrible and no stats will prove that. You may have been able to pad stats against weak opponents but that does not change the facts. Actually Gram had a decent defense in 2001 but other than that??
 
Tigerpride said:
JRock, I think you have it all backwards. On paper, it appears that no team in the WEST can touch Grambling and on paper it appears that no team in EAST can touch Alabama State. But we all know what paper is good for.

EAST
1. Alabama State
2. Jackson State
3. Alcorn State
4. AAMU
5. MS Valley


WEST

1. Grambling State
2. Southern University
3. Texas Southern
4. Prairie View
5. Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Click to expand...

TP,

You are not being objective with your east prognosis. You all simply got drug by Alcorn & AAMU last year. You all have not closed the gap with those JC players. If you have cowards on your team, AAMU will sell you a wolf ticket in a heart beat. I think they will clobber you all again. Bama State & Alcorn just have superior talent to you all. Beware, the Valley game is not a given either as you all are very close to their level. The 2nd largest classic and game in the SWAC (Magic City Classic) will determine the eastern representative. You may have been a little more objective with your west "guess." The Southern/Gram talent is very close and could be looked at either way by the "layman." The Bayou Classic will be another masterpiece but S.U. will prevail.
 
JROCK said:
TP,

You are not being objective with your east prognosis. You all simply got drug by Alcorn & AAMU last year. You all have not closed the gap with those JC players. If you have cowards on your team, AAMU will sell you a wolf ticket in a heart beat. I think they will clobber you all again. Bama State & Alcorn just have superior talent to you all. Beware, the Valley game is not a given either as you all are very close to their level. The 2nd largest classic and game in the SWAC (Magic City Classic) will determine the eastern representative. You may have been a little more objective with your west "guess." The Southern/Gram talent is very close and could be looked at either way by the "layman." The Bayou Classic will be another masterpiece but S.U. will prevail.
Click to expand...

Thank you for telling me how objective I am JRock!! What does last year have to do with anything?? You got clobbered by JSU in 2002 but beat us in 2003.
 
tierre said:
My Predictions for SWAC Football 04

Grambling: Will prove that they they don't need Doug to be good, just won't be as good as they have been for the last 6 years. Bruce will not be as good as he was this year. A slight improvement in secondary. Will continue to have high-powered offense. Will have to pull a miracle against Jackson St. or Alcorn but will fall short of one of them. Will come up short in the Bayou Classic. Will have a sellout against Jackson St. and Alcorn. Record 8-3. Loss to Alcorn/JSU, SU, ASU.

Southern: Will continue to be on top of the West again next year. Non-stoppable offense will win most of their games. Will have a slight improvement in the running game. Will have a lot of holes to fill in on defense. Will win the west in the Bayou Classic. SU two losses will be decided by 10 points or less and one of the in the last second. All wins except one will be blowouts. Record 9-2. Loss to Alcorn/JSU, and Alabama St. (Revenge).

Texas Southern: The new coach will endure TSU's problems and dept that the football program is in. One diminsional offense and lack of depth will definitly show against the top 5 teams. Will get upset by Prairie View and UAPB. Will get blown out by 4 teams in the SWAC, 2 of them shut-outs. Is also going to be homecoming bait of half of the SWAC. Record 3-8. Wins come from Howard, MVSU, AAMU/ASU.

UAPB: Will face the consiquences of hiring mediocre coaches. Continuing to go downhill. Will finish last in the West. Running game will be ok. Passing game will one the worst in the SWAC. Defense will be the worst in the SWAC. Possibility of getting shut out by AAMU for the 4 time out of 5 years. All wins will come at the last second. Record 3-8. Wins come from MVSU, Kentucky St., and Tex. Southern.

Key Gams

Alcorn vs. Southern
Alcorn vs. Grambling
Jackson St.vs. Southern
Jackson St. vs. Grambling
Southern vs. Alabama St.
Grambling vs. Alabama St.
Click to expand...


Dude,

Why would you even suggest Bruce won't be as good this year as in years past. He will have the best single season any DI-AA quarterback has ever had. Take that to the bank.

You are right that we will prove that we don't need Doug Williams to win in the SWAC.

Why would a miracle be needed to beat J-State period, but to add to the obvious, we play them at home where we hung 60 on them two years ago. Besides that, James Bell is still there coach.

Alcorn will be tough as always. This is the only game on our schedule that I am seriously concerned about other than the BC. Alcorn plays us tough year in and year out. Take that along with the fact that they accomplished some milestones last season (beating J-State and SU in Baton Rouge) will give them a lot of confidence coming into Gram to "exorsize the demon" so to speak. They could be trouble for Spears' 1st game.

Going to play at AA&M will be challenging but the Dogs just don't have enough fire power on offense to be dangerous.

SU is alwasy SU regardless of records and the BC will be another classic battle as usual.

MY PREDICTION*********
Very good shot at running the table through Birmingham to finish 12-0.
Possibly will finish 11 or 10-1 by losing to either Alcorn which will make us 11-1 or to SU leaving us 10-1 and on the oustide of the SCG. Will not lose to both though.

Official Prediction. 12-0 2004 SWAC CHAMPS "Reclamation of Dominance"
 
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