To help answer that question, professors from the University of Colorado system and Loyola University Chicago created a study looking at what happened to FBS programs that changed head coaches for performance reasons between 1997 and 2010.
According to its summary, the study is the first of its kind to analyze the effects of results-based coaching changes on the performance of college teams.
The methodology, in short: The professors compared the performance of programs that replaced their coach with similar programs that decided to retain their head coach. The study then “assessed how coaching replacements affected team performance for the four years following a replacement.”
After completing the study, the professors came to a pair of interesting conclusions:
When a team had been performing particularly poorly, replacing the coach resulted in a small, but short-lived, improvement in performance after a change.
The records of mediocre teams – those that, on average, won about 50 percent of their games in the year prior to replacing a coach – became worse.
Basically, poorly performing teams might get a brief improvement when changing coaches, but the change doesn’t last – bad teams remain bad.
And average teams, those that hover around six wins every season, actually get worse after making a coaching change. That’s fascinating.
http://tucsoncitizen.com/usa-today-...lege-football-coaching-changes-are-overrated/
According to its summary, the study is the first of its kind to analyze the effects of results-based coaching changes on the performance of college teams.
The methodology, in short: The professors compared the performance of programs that replaced their coach with similar programs that decided to retain their head coach. The study then “assessed how coaching replacements affected team performance for the four years following a replacement.”
After completing the study, the professors came to a pair of interesting conclusions:
When a team had been performing particularly poorly, replacing the coach resulted in a small, but short-lived, improvement in performance after a change.
The records of mediocre teams – those that, on average, won about 50 percent of their games in the year prior to replacing a coach – became worse.
Basically, poorly performing teams might get a brief improvement when changing coaches, but the change doesn’t last – bad teams remain bad.
And average teams, those that hover around six wins every season, actually get worse after making a coaching change. That’s fascinating.
http://tucsoncitizen.com/usa-today-...lege-football-coaching-changes-are-overrated/
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